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Burden of disease scenarios for 204 countries and territories, 2022–2050: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
1420 auth.
S. Vollset,
H. Ababneh,
Y. Abate,
C. Abbafati,
Rouzbeh Abbasgholizadeh,
Mohammadreza Abbasian,
Hedayat Abbastabar,
Abdallah H A Abd Al Magied,
S. ElHafeez,
Atef Abdelkader,
Michael Abdelmasseh,
S. Abd-Elsalam,
Parsa Abdi,
Mohammad Abdollahi,
Meriem Abdoun,
...
Auwal Abdullahi,
Mesfin Abebe,
Olumide Abiodun,
R. Aboagye,
Hassan Abolhassani,
M. Abouzid,
Girma Beressa Aboye,
Lucas Guimarães Abreu,
Abdorrahim Absalan,
Hasan Abualruz,
Bilyaminu Abubakar,
H. J. Abukhadijah,
Giovanni Addolorato,
Victor Adekanmbi,
C. Adetunji,
J. B. Adetunji,
T. Adeyeoluwa,
Rishan Adha,
R. Adhikary,
Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah Adnani,
Leticia Akua Adzigbli,
Fatemeh Afrashteh,
M. Afzal,
Saira Afzal,
Faith Agbozo,
A. Agodi,
Anurag Agrawal,
Williams Agyemang-Duah,
B. Ahinkorah,
Austin J Ahlstrom,
Aqeel Ahmad,
Firdos Ahmad,
Muayyad M Ahmad,
Sajjad Ahmad,
Shahzaib Ahmad,
Anisuddin Ahmed,
Ayman Ahmed,
Haroon Ahmed,
Safoora Ahmed,
Syed Anees Ahmed,
K. Akinosoglou,
Mohammed Ahmed Akkaif,
Ashley E Akrami,
Ema Akter,
S. Awaidy,
Syed Mahfuz Al Hasan,
Amjad S Al Mosa,
O. A. Ta'ani,
Omar Ali Mohammed Al Zaabi,
Fares Alahdab,
Muaaz M Alajlani,
Yazan A. Al-Ajlouni,
Samer O. Alalalmeh,
Z. Al-Aly,
K. Alam,
N. Alam,
Tahiya Alam,
Zufishan Alam,
Rasmieh M. Al-amer,
Fahad Mashhour Alanezi,
Turki M. Alanzi,
Almaza a. Albakri,
W. Aldhaleei,
Robert W Aldridge,
Seyedeh Yasaman Alemohammad,
Y. Alemu,
A. Al-Gheethi,
M. K. Al-Hanawi,
Abid Ali,
Amjad Ali,
Iman Ali,
Mohammed Usman Ali,
Rafat Ali,
Syed Shujait Shujait Ali,
Victor Ekoche Ali,
Waad Ali,
Akram Al-Ibraheem,
G. Alicandro,
S. M. Alif,
S. Aljunid,
François Alla,
J. U. Almazan,
Hesham M Al-Mekhlafi,
A. Alqutaibi,
Ahmad Alrawashdeh,
S. Alrousan,
Salman Khalifah Al-Sabah,
Mohammed A Alsabri,
Zaid Altaany,
Ala’a B. Al-Tammemi,
J. Al-Tawfiq,
K. Altirkawi,
D. Aluh,
N. Alvis-Guzmán,
M. Al-Wardat,
Y. Al-Worafi,
Hany Aly,
Mohammad Sharif Ibrahim Alyahya,
K. Alzoubi,
W. Al-Zyoud,
Reza Amani,
E. Ameyaw,
Tarek Tawfik Amin,
Alireza Amindarolzarbi,
Sohrab Amiri,
Mohammad Hosein Amirzade-Iranaq,
Hubert Amu,
D. Amugsi,
R. Ancuceanu,
Deanna Anderlini,
David B Anderson,
Pedro Prata Andrade,
C. Andrei,
Tudorel Andrei,
Erick Adrian Andrews,
Abhishek Anil,
Sneha Anil,
Amir Anoushiravani,
Catherine M. Antony,
E. Antriyandarti,
B. S. Anuoluwa,
Saeid Anvari,
A. Anyasodor,
F. Appiah,
Michele Aquilano,
J. Arab,
J. Arabloo,
Elshaimaa A. Arafa,
Mosab Arafat,
Aleksandr Aravkin,
Ali Ardekani,
Demelash Areda,
Brhane Berhe Aregawi,
A. Aremu,
Hany Ariffin,
Mesay Arkew,
Keivan Armani,
A. Artamonov,
Ashok Arumugam,
Mohammad Asghari-Jafarabadi,
Charlie Ashbaugh,
Thomas Astell-Burt,
S. Athari,
Prince Atorkey,
Maha Moh’d Wahbi Atout,
A. Aujayeb,
M. Ausloos,
Hamzeh Awad,
A. Awotidebe,
H. Ayatollahi,
J. Ayuso-Mateos,
S. Azadnajafabad,
F. Azeez,
Rui M S Azevedo,
Muhammad Badar,
Soroush Baghdadi,
Mahboube Bagheri,
Nasser Bagheri,
Ruhai Bai,
Jennifer L Baker,
A. T. Bako,
Senthilkumar Balakrishnan,
W. F. Balcha,
Ovidiu Constantin Baltatu,
M. Barchitta,
Erfan Bardideh,
S. Barker-Collo,
T. Bärnighausen,
H. Barqawi,
Sandra Barteit,
A. Basiru,
João Diogo Basso,
Mohammad-Mahdi Bastan,
Sanjay Basu,
M. Bauckneht,
B. Baune,
M. Bayati,
N. Bayileyegn,
A. Behnoush,
P. Behzadi,
M. Beiranvand,
O. Bello,
Luis Belo,
A. Beloukas,
Maryam Bemanalizadeh,
I. Benseñor,
H. Benzian,
Azizullah Beran,
Zombor Berezvai,
Robert S Bernstein,
Paulo J G Bettencourt,
Kebede A. Beyene,
Melak Gedamu Beyene,
Devidas S. Bhagat,
A. Bhagavathula,
Neeraj Bhala,
Dinesh Bhandari,
Ravi Bharadwaj,
Nikha Bhardwaj,
Pankaj Bhardwaj,
Ashish Bhargava,
Sonu M M Bhaskar,
Vivek Bhat,
N. V. Bhattacharjee,
G. K. Bhatti,
Jasvinder Singh Bhatti,
M. Bhatti,
M. Bhuiyan,
C. Bisignano,
Bijit Biswas,
T. Bjørge,
V. Bodolica,
Aadam Olalekan Bodunrin,
Milad Hashemi,
B. Basara,
Hamed Borhany,
S. Bosoka,
Alejandro Botero Carvajal,
S. Bouaoud,
S. Boufous,
Christopher Boxe,
Edward J. Boyko,
Oliver J. Brady,
Dejana Braithwaite,
Michael Brauer,
Javier Brazo-Sayavera,
H. Brenner,
Colin Stewart Brown,
A. Browne,
T. Brugha,
Dana Bryazka,
Norma B. Bulamu,
Danilo Buonsenso,
Katrin Burkart,
Richard A Burns,
Reinhard Busse,
Yasser Bustanji,
Z. Butt,
F. C. Santos,
M. Barsbay,
D. Calina,
Luciana Aparecida Campos,
Shujin Cao,
Angelo Capodici,
Rosario Cárdenas,
Giulia Carreras,
A. Carugno,
M. Carvalho,
J. Castaldelli-Maia,
G. Castelpietra,
M. Cattaruzza,
A. Caye,
Luca Cegolon,
Francieli Cembranel,
E. Cenko,
Ester Cerin,
S. J. Chadban,
J. Chadwick,
C. Chakraborty,
Sandip Chakraborty,
Julian Chalek,
Jeffrey Shi Kai Chan,
Rama M Chandika,
Sara Chandy,
J. Charan,
A. Chaudhary,
A. Chaurasia,
An-Tian Chen,
Haowei Chen,
Meng Xuan Chen,
Simiao Chen,
N. Cherbuin,
Gerald Chi,
Fatemeh Chichagi,
Odgerel Chimed-Ochir,
R. Chimoriya,
Patrick R. Ching,
Jesus Lorenzo Chirinos-Caceres,
Abdulaal Chitheer,
D. Y. Cho,
William C S Cho,
Dong-Woo Choi,
Bryan Chong,
C. L. Chong,
Hitesh Chopra,
D. Chu,
Eric Chung,
M. Chutiyami,
Justin T Clayton,
Rebecca M. Cogen,
Aaron J Cohen,
A. Columbus,
H. Comfort,
J. Conde,
Jon T Connolly,
Ezra E K Cooper,
Samuele Cortese,
N. Cruz-Martins,
A. G. D. Silva,
Omid Dadras,
X. Dai,
Zhaoli Dai,
Bronte E Dalton,
G. Damiani,
L. Dandona,
R. Dandona,
Jai K Das,
Saswati Das,
Subasish Das,
N. Dash,
K. Davletov,
Fernando De la Hoz,
Diego De Leo,
Shayom Debopadhaya,
Iván Delgado-Enciso,
E. Denova-Gutiérrez,
N. Dervenis,
Hardik D. Desai,
Vinoth Gnana Chellaiyan Devanbu,
Syed Masudur Rahman Dewan,
K. Dhama,
Amol S. Dhane,
Sameer Dhingra,
D. Silva,
Daniel Diaz,
Luis Antonio Diaz,
Michael J Diaz,
Adriana Dima,
Delaney D Ding,
Thao Huynh Phuong Do,
Camila Bruneli do Prado,
Masoud Dodangeh,
Milad Dodangeh,
P. Doegah,
Sushil Dohare,
Wanyue Dong,
Mario D'Oria,
R. Doshi,
Robert Kokou Dowou,
Haneil Larson Dsouza,
V. Dsouza,
John Dube,
S. Dumith,
Bruce B Duncan,
A. Durães,
Senbagam Duraisamy,
O. Durojaiye,
A. Dushpanova,
S. Dutta,
P. A. Dzianach,
Arkadiusz Marian Dziedzic,
E. Eboreime,
Alireza Ebrahimi,
M. E. Kalan,
H. Edinur,
Ferry Efendi,
T. Eikemo,
E. Eini,
T. Ekundayo,
Rabie Adel El Arab,
Iman El Sayed,
Osman Elamin,
N. Elemam,
Ghada ElGohary,
Muhammed Elhadi,
Omar Abdelsadek Abdou Elmeligy,
Adel B. Elmoselhi,
M. Elshaer,
Ibrahim Elsohaby,
M. Eltahir,
T. Emeto,
B. Eshrati,
Majid Eslami,
Zahra Esmaeili,
N. Fabin,
A. Fagbamigbe,
O. Fagbule,
L. Falzone,
M. Fareed,
C. Farinha,
M. Faris,
Andre Faro,
Kiana Fasihi,
A. Fatehizadeh,
N. Fauk,
Timur Fazylov,
Valery L. Feigin,
Ginenus Fekadu,
Xiaoqi Feng,
S. Fereshtehnejad,
Pietro Ferrara,
Nuno Ferreira,
Belet Sewasew Firew,
Florian Fischer,
Ida Fitriana,
Joanne Flavel,
L. Flor,
M. Foláyan,
Kristen Marie Foley,
Marco Fonzo,
Lisa M. Force,
Matteo Foschi,
Alberto Freitas,
Nita Fridayani,
K. Fukutaki,
João M. Furtado,
B. Fux,
Péter Gaál,
M. Gadanya,
Silvano Gallus,
B. Ganesan,
Mohammad Arfat Ganiyani,
R. Gautam,
Tilaye Gebru Gebi,
M. W. Gebregergis,
Mesfin Gebrehiwot,
Lemma Getacher,
Genanew Kassie Getahun,
P. Gething,
Delaram J Ghadimi,
F. Ghadirian,
Sadegh Ghafarian,
K. Ghailan,
Mohammad-Reza Ghasemi,
Ghazal Ghasempour Dabaghi,
R. Ghazy,
Sama Ghoba,
Ehsan Gholami,
Ali Gholamrezanezhad,
Nasim Gholizadeh,
Mahsa Ghorbani,
Pooyan Ghorbani Vajargah,
Elena Ghotbi,
Artyom Urievich Gil,
Tiffany K. Gill,
Alem Girmay,
James C. Glasbey,
E. Glushkova,
E. Gnedovskaya,
Laszlo Göbölös,
Mohamad Goldust,
Pouya Goleij,
Davide Golinelli,
S. Gopalani,
A. Goulart,
Mahdi Gouravani,
Anmol Goyal,
Michale Grivna,
Giuseppe Grosso,
Giovanni Guarducci,
M. I. Gubari,
Stefano Guicciardi,
Rafael Alves Guimarães,
Snigdha Gulati,
David Gulisashvili,
D. Gunawardane,
Cui Guo,
A. Gupta,
Rahul Gupta,
R. Gupta,
Renu Gupta,
Sapna Gupta,
Vijai Kumar Gupta,
Annie Haakenstad,
Najah R. Hadi,
Nils Haep,
A. Hafiz,
D. Haghmorad,
D. Haile,
Adel Hajj Ali,
Ali Hajj Ali,
Arvin Haj-Mirzaian,
E. Halboub,
Sebastian Haller,
R. Halwani,
Kanaan Abdullah,
Nadia M. Hamdy,
R. Hamoudi,
N. Hanifi,
G. J. Hankey,
Z. Haq,
Md Rabiul Haque,
H. Harapan,
Arief Hargono,
J. Haro,
Ahmed I Hasaballah,
S. M. M. Hasan,
M. Hasanian,
Md. Saquib Hasnain,
Amr Hassan,
Johannes Haubold,
Simon I. Hay,
Jeffrey J. Hebert,
Omar E. Hegazi,
Mohammad Heidari,
Mehdi Hemmati,
Claire A. Henson,
B. Herrera-Serna,
C. Herteliu,
Majid Heydari,
Kamal Hezam,
Irma Hidayana,
Y. Hiraike,
Nguyen Quoc Hoan,
Ramesh Holla,
P. Hoogar,
Nobuyuki Horita,
Md Mahbub Hossain,
Hassan Hosseinzadeh,
M. Hosseinzadeh,
M. Hostiuc,
S. Hostiuc,
Chengxi Hu,
Junjie. Huang,
M. Hultström,
Tsegaye Gebreyes Hundie,
Aliza J Hunt,
K. Hushmandi,
Javid Hussain,
M. A. Hussain,
N. Hussein,
H. Huynh,
Bing-Fang Hwang,
S. E. Ibitoye,
P. Iftikhar,
A. Ikiroma,
P. Ikwegbue,
Irena M. Ilic,
Milena D. Ilic,
Mustapha Immurana,
M. A. Isa,
Md. Rabiul Islam,
Sheikh Mohammed Shariful Islam,
Faisal Ismail,
N. Ismail,
Gaetano Isola,
Masao Iwagami,
I. Iyamu,
Louis Jacob,
K. Jacobsen,
M. Jafarinia,
Kasra Jahankhani,
N. Jahanmehr,
Nityanand Jain,
A. Jairoun,
Dr Ruchi Jakhmola Mani,
Safayet Jamil,
R. Jamora,
A. Jatau,
Sabzali R. Javadov,
T. Javaheri,
S. Jayaram,
Sun Ha Jee,
Jayakumar Jeganathan,
Heng Jiang,
Mohammad Jokar,
J. Jonas,
Nitin Joseph,
Charity Ehimwenma Joshua,
Mikk Jürisson,
K. Vaishali,
Alia Kabir,
Zubair Kabir,
Vidya Kadashetti,
L. Kalankesh,
Sanjay Kalra,
Ashwin Kamath,
Rajesh Kamath,
Arun Kamireddy,
Mona Kanaan,
T. Kanchan,
E. Kanmiki,
K. Kanmodi,
S. K. Kansal,
Asima Karim,
Samad Karkhah,
F. Kashoo,
Hengameh Kasraei,
Molly B Kassel,
S. Katikireddi,
J. Kauppila,
Harkiran Kaur,
G. Kayode,
Foad Kazemi,
Sina Kazemian,
Fassikaw Kebede,
E. Kendal,
E. Kesse‐Guyot,
Shahram Khademvatan,
H. Khajuria,
A. Khalaji,
Asaad Khalid,
Nauman Khalid,
Alireza Khalilian,
F. Khamesipour,
Fayaz Khan,
Mohammad Jobair Khan,
Moien A. B. Khan,
S. Khanmohammadi,
K. Khatab,
Haitham Khatatbeh,
M. Khatatbeh,
M. Khatib,
Hamid Reza Khayat Kashani,
K. Kheirallah,
Manoj Khokhar,
Moein Khormali,
Zahra Khorrami,
A. Khosla,
Majid Khosravi,
Mahmood Khosrowjerdi,
J. Khubchandani,
Zemene Demelash Kifle,
Grace Kim,
J. Kim,
Min Seo Kim,
Y. Kim,
R. Kimokoti,
A. Kisa,
S. Kisa,
Luke D. Knibbs,
Ann Kristin Skrindo Knudsen,
S. Kochhar,
Ali-Asghar Kolahi,
Farzad Kompani,
Gerbrand Koren,
O. Korzh,
K. Krishan,
Varun Krishna,
V. Krishnamoorthy,
B. K. Bicer,
Md Abdul Kuddus,
M. Kuddus,
I. Kuitunen,
Omar Kujan,
M. Kulimbet,
Vishnutheertha Kulkarni,
G. Kumar,
Harish Kumar,
Nithin Kumar,
Rakesh Kumar,
Vijay Kumar,
Amartya Kundu,
Dian Kusuma,
F. Kyei-Arthur,
Ville Kytö,
H. Kyu,
C. L. Vecchia,
Ben Lacey,
M. Ladan,
Lucie Laflamme,
Chandrakant Lahariya,
D. Lai,
R. Lalloo,
T. Lallukka,
Judit Lám,
Q. Lan,
Tuo Lan,
I. Landires,
Francesco Lanfranchi,
Berthold Langguth,
V. Lansingh,
Ariane Laplante-Lévesque,
Bagher Larijani,
Anders O Larsson,
Savita Lasrado,
P. Lauriola,
Hilary R Lawlor,
Huu-Hoai Le,
Long Khanh Dao Le,
Nhi Huu Hanh Le,
Thao Thi Thu Le,
T. D. T. Le,
J. Leasher,
Doo Woong Lee,
Munjae Lee,
P. H. Lee,
Sang-Woong Lee,
S. Lee,
Shaun Wen Huey Lee,
Yo Han Lee,
J. Leigh,
E. Leong,
Ming-Chieh Li,
Massimo Libra,
V. Ligade,
Lee-Ling Lim,
Stephen S. Lim,
Liknaw Workie Limenh,
Daniel Lindholm,
Paulina A Lindstedt,
Stefan Listl,
Gang Liu,
Shiwei Liu,
Shuke Liu,
Xiaofeng Liu,
Xuefeng Liu,
Erand Llanaj,
R. López‐Bueno,
J. López-Gil,
Arianna Maever Loreche,
P. Lotufo,
Rafael Lozano,
J. Lubinda,
G. Lucchetti,
Lisha Luo,
Jay B Lusk,
Lei Lv,
Hawraz Ibrahim M Amin,
Zheng Feei Ma,
Kelsey Lynn Maass,
Nikolaos Machairas,
M. Machoy,
Áurea M Madureira-Carvalho,
H. A. E. Razek,
A. Maghazachi,
D. R. M. Prasad,
Mehrdad Mahalleh,
P. Mahasha,
M. Mahmoud,
Elham Mahmoudi,
Golnaz Mahmoudvand,
Maureen Makama,
E. M. Rad,
Kashish Malhotra,
A. A. Malik,
D. C. Malta,
Y. Manla,
Ali Mansour,
Mohammad Hadi Mansouri,
Pejman Mansouri,
Vahid Mansouri,
Marjan Mansourian,
M. Mansournia,
B. Marasini,
H. Marateb,
Joemer C. Maravilla,
Parham Mardi,
A. Marjani,
Hamed Markazi Moghadam,
C. M. Arnedo,
Gabriel Martínez,
Ramon Martinez-Piedra,
F. R. Martins-Melo,
Miquel Martorell,
Wolfgang Marx,
R. Marzo,
Sahar Masoudi,
Yasith Mathangasinghe,
Alexander G. Mathioudakis,
M. Mathur,
Navgeet Mathur,
Neeta Mathur,
F. Matozinhos,
Jishanth Mattumpuram,
R. Maude,
Andrea Maugeri,
Mahsa Mayeli,
M. Mazidi,
Antonio Mazzotti,
John J McGrath,
Martin McKee,
A. L. McKowen,
M.A. McPhail,
S. M. McPhail,
Asim Mehmood,
Kamran Mehrabani-Zeinabad,
Sepideh Mehravar,
Tesfahun Mekene Meto,
Endalkachew Belayneh Melese,
Max Alberto Mendez Mendez-Lopez,
W. Mendoza,
Ritesh G. Menezes,
George A. Mensah,
Laverne G Mensah,
A. Mentis,
S. Meo,
A. Meretoja,
T. Meretoja,
Abera Mersha,
T. Meštrović,
K. Mettananda,
Sachith Mettananda,
Adquate Mhlanga,
Laurette Mhlanga,
T. Miazgowski,
I. Michalek,
Ana Carolina Mgn de Sá,
Ted R. Miller,
Le Huu Nhat Minh,
Alireza Mirahmadi,
A. Mirijello,
E. Mirrakhimov,
Roya Mirzaei,
Philip B Mitchell,
Chaitanya Mittal,
Madeline E Moberg,
Atousa Moghadam Fard,
Seyedehfatemeh Mohajelin,
Ashraf Mohamadkhani,
Ahmed Ismail Mohamed,
Jama Mohamed,
Mouhand F H Mohamed,
N. Mohamed,
Ameen Mosa Mohammad,
Soheil Mohammadi,
Hussen Mohammed,
Mustapha Mohammed,
S. Mohammed,
A. Mokdad,
M. Molokhia,
S. Momani,
S. Momtazmanesh,
L. Monasta,
Stefania Mondello,
M. A. Moni,
Fateme Montazeri,
A. M. Ghalibaf,
Maryam Moradi,
Yousef Moradi,
P. Moraga,
L. Morawska,
R. S. Moreira,
N. Morovatdar,
S. D. Morrison,
A. Mosapour,
J. Mosser,
Elias Mossialos,
Rohith Motappa,
Vincent Mougin,
Parsa Mousavi,
Matías Mrejen,
S. Mubarik,
U. Mueller,
F. Mulita,
Kavita Munjal,
E. Murillo-Zamora,
Khaled M. Musallam,
A. Muşină,
Ghulam Mustafa,
Woojae Myung,
Ayoub Nafei,
Ahamarshan Jayaraman Nagarajan,
Pirouz Naghavi,
Ganesh R. Naik,
G. Naik,
F. Nainu,
Soroush Najdaghi,
N. N. Ansari,
V. Nangia,
Sreenivas Narasimha Swamy,
Shumaila Nargus,
Delaram Narimani Davani,
B. R. Nascimento,
Gustavo G Nascimento,
Abdallah Y. Naser,
A. Nashwan,
Z. Natto,
J. Nauman,
S. Navaratna,
Muhammad Naveed,
Nawsherwan,
B. Nayak,
Vinod C. Nayak,
Hadush Negash,
I. Negoi,
R. Negoi,
S. A. Nejadghaderi,
Chakib Nejjari,
Soroush Nematollahi,
Henok Biresaw Netsere,
Marie Ng,
Georges Nguefack-Tsague,
J. Ngunjiri,
Anh Hoang Nguyen,
Dang H. Nguyen,
D. Nguyen,
Hau Thi Hien Nguyen,
Nhan Nguyen,
Nhien Ngoc Y Nguyen,
Phat Tuan Nguyen,
QuynhAnh P Nguyen,
Van Thanh Nguyen,
Duc Tran Minh,
R. Niazi,
Y. T. Nigatu,
Mahdieh Niknam,
Ali Nikoobar,
A. Nikpoor,
Nasrin Nikravangolsefid,
E. Noman,
Shuhei Nomura,
Syed Toukir Ahmed Noor,
Nafiseh Noroozi,
Mehran Nouri,
Majid Nozari,
C. Nri-Ezedi,
G. Ntaios,
M. H. Nunemo,
Dieta Nurrika,
J. Nutor,
C. I. Nzoputam,
O. Nzoputam,
B. Oancea,
K. Obamiro,
I. A. Odetokun,
M. S. Oduro,
O. A. Ogundijo,
A. Ogunfowokan,
A. Ogunkoya,
A. Oguntade,
In-Hwan Oh,
Tolulope R Ojo-Akosile,
H. Okati-Aliabad,
A. Okekunle,
Osaretin Christabel Okonji,
A. Olagunju,
M. I. Olatubi,
Glaucia Moraes de Oliveira,
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Christopher J. L. Murray
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